Date:
March 14, 2014 - SCIENCE DAILY
Source:
University of Bern
Summary:
Southern Switzerland emerges as a hotspot of the effects of climate change. And the bark beetle is putting spruces all over Switzerland under increasing pressure, because an additional generation of pests could hatch each year due to the rising temperatures. Also, about half of the remaining glacial ice will already have melted away by 2035.
Southern Switzerland emerges as a hotspot of the effects of climate change. And the bark beetle is putting spruces all over Switzerland under increasing pressure, because an additional generation of pests could hatch each year due to the rising temperatures. These are two of many statements from the report "CH2014-Impacts," which deals with the quantitative consequences of climate change for Switzerland. It has been produced under the direction of the Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research of the University of Bern.
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The results of the "CH2014-Impacts" project confirm existing knowledge concerning the consequences of climate change and provide new findings. For example, previous assessments concerning changes in the Swiss glaciers have been clearly corroborated: if no radical climate policy measures are taken, around 90 percent of the Swiss glaciers will disappear by the end of this century.
Around half of the remaining glacial ice will already have melted away by 2035.
Winners and losers in the forest
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Major regional differences
The "CH2014-Impacts" report clearly shows the major regional differences in the effects of climate change. For example, Tessin in particular is being confronted with negative consequences of temperature increase. The hot phases with so-called tropical nights could extend to a duration of up to two months. Not only people would suffer from this. Cows for example would be threatened by heat stress, and the dryness would be a problem for the forests. According to another result of the report, the sensitive south of Switzerland has to expect striking effects of climate change -- "Even if globally effective climate protection measures are taken," says Raible.
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Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions urgently needed
One conclusion of "CH2014-Impacts" is that, with or without climate protection, Switzerland will not be able to do without adaptation. This also includes improved management, such as in agriculture for example -- including the choice of varieties and pest control -- and in water supply. Due to the changing streamflow in the rivers, it will in future be necessary to be more economical with the use of water. But climate change is also presenting forestry with new challenges. The changing conditions necessitate an adaptation of forest tending and the promotion of biodiversity.
Adaptive measures and improved management are not enough, however, for coping with climate change. A reduction of greenhouse gas emissions still remains an urgent priority. In other words: adaptation and climate protection must go hand in hand. "If we manage to limit climate change, adaptation to its consequences will as a result be easier to achieve and cheaper," says Raible in summary.
The report "CH2014-Impacts" can be downloaded free of charge at www.ch2014-impacts.ch.
Story Source:
The above story is based on materials provided by University of Bern. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.